Philippine Agri-Weather Forecast
The weather systems that will likely affect the whole country are the Northeast (NE) Monsoon, shearline, easterlies, intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ), and localized thunderstorms.
During the start of the forecast period, eastern sections of Central and Southern Luzon, Visayas and MIMAROPA will experience cloudy skies with scattered rains and thunderstorms due to shear line. NE monsoon will bring cloudy skies with rains over the rest of Luzon while the rest of the country will have partly cloudy to at times cloudy with isolated light rains. During the mid-part of the dekad, the NE monsoon will continue to bring cloudiness with light rains over Cagayan Valley, Cordillera Administrative Region, eastern section of Central Luzon, and Bicol Region while the rest of Luzon will experience partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated light rains. Cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms will experience over Eastern Visayas while the rest of the country will experience Partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms. For the remaining part of the period, Easterlies will continue to bring cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms over the eastern sections of Visayas and Mindanao. NE monsoon will bring cloudy skies with rains over Cagayan Valley, Cordillera Administrative Region, eastern section of Central Luzon while the rest of Luzon will have partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated light rains.
During the first half of the dekad, winds coming from the northeast will prevail over the whole archipelago. For the rest of the forecast period winds coming from the northeast will prevail over Luzon while Visayas and Mindanao will have winds coming from the east to northeast.
During the first half of the dekad, rough to very rough seas will prevail over the Northern Luzon, and the eastern sections of Central Luzon, Southern Luzon, and Visayas. Moderate to strong seas will prevail over the rest of Luzon and Visayas while the rest of the country will have slight to moderate seas. During the second half of the dekad, Moderate to strong seas will prevail over the rest of Luzon and Visayas while the rest of the country will have slight to moderate seas.
ENSO ALERT SYSTEM STATUS: LA NIÑA ALERT (Issued: 06 January 2025)
Periods of cooler-than-average sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the equatorial Pacific Ocean that started in September 2024 continue to persist and further strengthened reaching the La Niña conditions threshold in December 2024, as shown by the recent oceanic and atmospheric indicators. La Niña condition exists if a one-month sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTAs) of -0.5°C or less is observed and an expectation that the 3-month SSTA (Oceanic Niño Index) of -0.5°C or less will be met (i.e., December-January-February (DJF), January-February-March (JFM)). It is likely that this La Niña condition will continue at least until JFM 2025 season as suggested by several climate models. With this development, higher chances of above-normal rainfall in January – February - March 2025 season are expected, which may cause floods, flashfloods, and rain-induced landslides. Furthermore, an increased chance of tropical cyclone activity within the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) during the period is likely.
PAGASA will continue to closely monitor the developing La Niña. All government agencies concerned and the general public are encouraged to stay updated and use the information for guidance in taking precautionary measures to mitigate the adverse impacts of these phenomena. For more info: https://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/climate/el-nino-la-nina/monitoring
During the start of the forecast period, eastern sections of Central and Southern Luzon, Visayas and MIMAROPA will experience cloudy skies with scattered rains and thunderstorms due to shear line. NE monsoon will bring cloudy skies with rains over the rest of Luzon while the rest of the country will have partly cloudy to at times cloudy with isolated light rains. During the mid-part of the dekad, the NE monsoon will continue to bring cloudiness with light rains over Cagayan Valley, Cordillera Administrative Region, eastern section of Central Luzon, and Bicol Region while the rest of Luzon will experience partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated light rains. Cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms will experience over Eastern Visayas while the rest of the country will experience Partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms. For the remaining part of the period, Easterlies will continue to bring cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms over the eastern sections of Visayas and Mindanao. NE monsoon will bring cloudy skies with rains over Cagayan Valley, Cordillera Administrative Region, eastern section of Central Luzon while the rest of Luzon will have partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated light rains.
During the first half of the dekad, winds coming from the northeast will prevail over the whole archipelago. For the rest of the forecast period winds coming from the northeast will prevail over Luzon while Visayas and Mindanao will have winds coming from the east to northeast.
During the first half of the dekad, rough to very rough seas will prevail over the Northern Luzon, and the eastern sections of Central Luzon, Southern Luzon, and Visayas. Moderate to strong seas will prevail over the rest of Luzon and Visayas while the rest of the country will have slight to moderate seas. During the second half of the dekad, Moderate to strong seas will prevail over the rest of Luzon and Visayas while the rest of the country will have slight to moderate seas.
ENSO ALERT SYSTEM STATUS: LA NIÑA ALERT (Issued: 06 January 2025)
Periods of cooler-than-average sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the equatorial Pacific Ocean that started in September 2024 continue to persist and further strengthened reaching the La Niña conditions threshold in December 2024, as shown by the recent oceanic and atmospheric indicators. La Niña condition exists if a one-month sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTAs) of -0.5°C or less is observed and an expectation that the 3-month SSTA (Oceanic Niño Index) of -0.5°C or less will be met (i.e., December-January-February (DJF), January-February-March (JFM)). It is likely that this La Niña condition will continue at least until JFM 2025 season as suggested by several climate models. With this development, higher chances of above-normal rainfall in January – February - March 2025 season are expected, which may cause floods, flashfloods, and rain-induced landslides. Furthermore, an increased chance of tropical cyclone activity within the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) during the period is likely.
PAGASA will continue to closely monitor the developing La Niña. All government agencies concerned and the general public are encouraged to stay updated and use the information for guidance in taking precautionary measures to mitigate the adverse impacts of these phenomena. For more info: https://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/climate/el-nino-la-nina/monitoring
Farm Advisories
- Apply fertilizer when the soil is dry to avoid runoff. Avoid fertilizing immediately before or during heavy rainfall to prevent nutrients from washing away. After applying the fertilizer, incorporate it into the soil to enhance absorption and reduce surface runoff.
- Use tarps or waterproof covers for protection, and ensure vehicles are suitable for wet conditions to prevent damage or delays.
- Maintain well-drained farm exit routes to avoid waterlogging and ensure smooth loading and unloading.
- Space windbreak trees adequately for healthy growth and trim them regularly to maximize wind protection.
- Apply pesticides on calm, dry days, ensuring the correct dosage based on pest identification, and always follow label instructions to protect beneficial insects.
Regional Agrometeorological Situation and Prognosis
Region 1 Ilocos Region
Region 2 Cagayan Valley
CAR (Cordillera Administrative Region)
Region 3 Central Luzon
NCR (National Capital Region)
Region 4A CALABARZON
Region 4B MIMAROPA
Region 5 Bicol Region
Region 6 Western Visayas
Region 7 Central Visayas
Region 8 Eastern Visayas
Region 9 Zamboanga Peninsula
Region 10 Northern Mindanao
Region 11 Davao Region
Region 12 SOCCSKSARGEN
Region 13 CARAGA
BARMM (Bangsamoro Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao)
Region 1 Ilocos Region
Forecast Rainfall (mm):
0 – 20
Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):
(>1mm): 0– 4
Actual Soil Moisture Condition:
n/a
Range of Relative Humidity (%):
45 – 97
Min - Max Temperature (°C):
20 – 33
Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:
Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities
Land preparation is ongoing. Transplanting of rice are still in progress. Rice are in vegetative to maturing stages. Some corn are in vegetative while some are in maturity and being harvested. Growing of avocado, banana, coconut, coffee, guava, chico, guyabano, jackfruit, mango, papaya, ampalaya, batao, cassava, chayote, chili pepper, ginger, malunggay, mustard, mushroom, mung bean, okra, onion, patola, pechay, potato, squash, string bean, sweet pepper, sweet potato, taro, tobacco, ubi, upo, and winged bean is underway. Harvesting of avocado, banana, chico, papaya, pomegranate, watermelon, alugbati, ampalaya, batao, calamansi, carrot, cassava, chili, eggplant, ginger, kale, kamote tops, kangkong, kulitis, lettuce, malunggay, mung bean, mustasa, okra, onion, onion leeks, pako, pechay, radish, spinach, squash, string bean, sweet pepper, sweet potato, talinum, taro, tomato, and winged bean is taking place. Tobacco planting is underway, and grazing activities are taking place. Fertilization, weeding, water management, mulching, and pest and disease monitoring are being actively carried out
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NRE MEVT TAC MAM
NRE MEVT TAC MAM